Beliefs require observations
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To form accurate beliefs about something, you really do have to observe it. This can be viewed as a special case of the second law of thermodynamics, in fact, since "knowledge" is correlation of belief with reality, which is mutual information, which is a form of negentropy.
Blog posts
- The Second Law of Thermodynamics, and Engines of Cognition
- What is Evidence?
- The Parable of the Dagger